The socrates football trading strategy

The Socrates Strategysocrates

This is a variation of the Aristotle/Clint trade which helps to maximise profit and reduce the downside whilst removing the need for as much in play management.

Why it works

Using the same match selection criteria as the Aristotle/Clint, the BTTS becomes a very simple trade for beginners to follow. We take our positions in the market at the start of the match and only need to make any moves if the score is 0-0, or 1-0 after 60 minutes. Because of its simplicity it is possible to trade multiple matches at the same time.

Where’s theEDGE?

The edge here is in match selection, the statistical probability of over 2.5 goals and the regularity of both teams scoring. We are looking for a double win on two markets BTTS (both teams to score) and over 2.5 goals to maximise our profits. Even in a match where a side concedes 6 goals there will often be a consolation goal to give us our double win.

How it’s played

We are looking for matches where the price of BTTS and Over 2.5 goals are @1.80 or above.

Using a £25 stake we enter the market pre-match with the following stakes:

Stake of £10 Backed on BTTS @1.80+
Stake of £10 Backed on over 2.5 goals @1.80+
Stake of £2 Backed on 0-0
Stake of £3 Backed on 1-1

We will let this trade run to its conclusion unless the score is 0-0 or 1-0 after 60 minutes. If 0-0 we will green up 0-0 and scratch 1-1 taking a hedged red on over 2.5 goals and BTTS.

If 1-0 we green up 1-1, scratch (or take a small loss on over 2.5 goals) and red BTTS. Any other score line and we have a tradingEDGE so can let the trade run until 80 minutes where we can reassess. We can either exit the trade or stay in with a probable win on either, 1-1, over 2.5 or BTTS and ideally both Over 2.5 goals and BTTS.

Where’s the downside

The downside is no goal or two goals to one side. Taking insurance to cover half our stake with a lay of over 0.5 goals will protect us from a 0-0 draw. A small back of 2-0 and 3-0 at 1-0 will minimise the loss of a 2-0 finish.

goalprofits

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