Trading Football / Soccer markets on Betfair can be fun, thrilling and very lucrative, if done correctly. Betfair markets with highest liquidity (people have bet enough money for odds to function properly, without delays) are the Match odds and over/under 2.5 goals markets. Correct score usually is the third most liquid market in higher football league match-ups.
Correct score trading includes backing and/or laying one or more of Correct scores. Also, Correct score market is often used as backup plan (cover bets) for other markets, for example, Match Odds or Over/Under markets.
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Example of cover bet:
You have made an bet on a football match, that teams will score over 2.5 goals.
Game is evenly matched, and you are afraid of game ending with 1-1 draw.
You make a bet on 1-1 scoreline in Correct Score market.
This bet will take a bit of your potential profit, but you will break even if the game ends with 1-1.
But in this guide, we will be looking at each of Correct Score market scorelines separately. We will be looking at how each of correct scoreline reacts to goals, how it reacts if no goals are being scored, what are usual odds for this scoreline in game that is evenly matched or there is a strong favorite.
0–0 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
0-0 is the scoreline that every football games starts with. And therefore there always is a probability that game will end on this scoreline. This score is only one score that is guaranteed to happen on football game. Even Barcelona is playing against your local town team, the game will start with 0-0 and there is a probability that both teams will not score a single goal.
0-0 scoreline most often is priced at about odds of 8-12. If score at the half time still is 0-0 then those odds will have dropped to 3.5-6.
This scoreline is one of the easiest to trade, because you will have no dilemma at all – if the goal is scored, your back bet is 100% lost, or, if you placed a Lay bet, it is won.
So, if you do place a 100 euro back bet on scoreline 0-0 with odds of 8, your profit will be 700 euros. In this case you will win only if the game ends with 0-0.
But if you place a 100 euro Lay bet on scoreline 0-0 with odds of 8, your profit will be 100 euros, but the liability will be 700 euros. In this case you will win on every other scoreline except 0-0.
0-0 is often used as cover bet for different Football trading strategies, like Lay The Draw, Over/Under 2.5 goals and others. It is one of the most heartbreaking moments of football trading when a game, where you expected over 2.5 goals scored, ends with 0-0. It is an ongoing discussion, weather to place cover bets or not, but it definitely is a good feeling if backing 0-0 saves your betting bank. Looking from the other side, in the long term, you will be giving away your potential profit from making those cover bets.
You can look to back 0-0 scoreline in low scoring games and make all green screen whenever you start to see goal scoring moments in a football game or you can leave the stake and wait for the game to end with 0-0.
Another popular strategy with 0-0 scoreline is to back it at about 90th minute of the game if the result is still 0-0. The odds of 0-0 scoreline then will be at around 1.7-2.0. There is a tendency that teams score some goals in last minute of the game more often than other times. If one of the team really needs some points in the table, then they will go all trying to score a goal. In this situation it is really probable that they will score and there is quite big possibility, that they will get caught on a counter attack
1–0 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
1-0 scoreline is in top 5 most usual scorelines in football games. Most of the times, there will be an underdog and a favorite in a football game and most of the times the favorite will score at least one goal.
A football game with only one goal does not have to be boring! It can be very attractive to spectators and the only one goal can be as a cheery on a cake.
1-0 scoreline is most effectively backed in a games where there are expected under 2.5 goals and there is a slight favorite in a game. In this scenario, both teams should have very good defensive lineups, but not so good attacking strength.
If we look at the dangers of backing this scoreline, then there are lots of them! If the first goal goes in fast, the odds on 1-0 scoreline will grow. If the underdog scores first, all your bet will be lost.
If teams are lazy to score a goal, the odds will drop till about 70th minute. After that, they will raise again and if the result stays 0-0 or underdog scores, you will lose your bet again. So maybe it is better to get a green screen at half time or even later – at 60th minute. Then your profit will be more than your original stake.
0–1 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
0-1 can be a very usual scoreline if there is a favorite playing at weaker sides football field. Also, it can be a surprise scoreline, if the underdog beats the favourite in a very low scoring game.
0-1 scoreline usually is used in those occasions:
- Favorite playing away game;
- An expected low scoring game with evenly matched teams;
- As a cover bet for unexpected results.
1–1 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
1-1 scoreline is the most stable scoreline. It usually is priced at 7-8 and the price will stay at this level even till 65 minute of the game if no goals will be scored.
If the favourite scores a goal in the first half, the odds of 1-1 will drift out a little, because the market will be expecting more goals from favourite.
If the underdog scores a goal in the first half, the odds will shorten, because the market will be expecting the favourite to even up the score.
In evenly priced matches, a goal in the first half will have not much of an impact on the price, because the 1-1 scoreline will still be a very realistic result of full time.
1-1 scoreline is a very good starting point of any Correct Score trading strategy, because it offers many opportunities through the whole game.
You can expect to profit from backing 1-1 scoreline almost in every game. The worst scenario is two or more early goals. If the result will become 2-0 or 0-2 at any point of the game your bet will be lost in full. If there will be early 1-1, the price will drift out for example, from 7 to 12.
2–0 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
2-0 scoreline is one of the most usual scorelines when a clear favorite is playing against underdog.
Odds of this scoreline will be about 7.00-12.00 before kick off and they will stay at this level for around half time. After that, if no goals will be scored yet, they will start to rise quite quickly.
If you are backing this scoreline, then be prepared to loose all your stake, because if away scores one goal, this bet is lost. Therefore, you will have to look for games where it is unlikely that underdog will score.
0–2 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
0-2 scoreline is used in quite few occasions in football trading. It can be realistic, if a favorite plays away game.
2–1 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
1–2 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
3–0 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
0–3 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
2–2 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
3–1 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
1–3 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
3–2 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
2–3 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
3–3 scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
Any Other Home Win scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
Any Other Away Win scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
Any Other Draw scoreline trading on Betfair Correct score market
This article is being updated…