Tennis Trading

Tennis is a very dynamic type of sports, so it is very suited for trading bets. In tennis points get scored after every few seconds and the ratio is changing constantly as well. The biggest changes in the ratio happen when a serve is broken or a set has been won. You can earn a lot of money when watching the game live and analyzing the performance of the sportsmen if you have the right strategy and you have strong discipline.

The biggest mistake in tennis trading is not following the system and relying on the hope that the sportsman will regain the points needed and still win the game – this usually ends with significant losses. So, to become a winner, you have to be able to control yourself and your emotions.

Back The Server

tennis trading strategy

This is the easiest and the most understandable tennis trading strategy. It is used in the process of the game, ideally when watching the game live.

The Strategy:

This strategy is great for men’s matches because men are better servers then women.

It is recommended to place bets on the favorite players with a ratio from 1.8 to 1.4

BACK bet should be placed before he starts serving.

It is not recommended to place a bet on the first serve because the players often need time to get into the game properly. You should carefully choose when to get involved by evaluating the performance of the sportsman.

If the server loses the first point (0:15), then you need to close your bet and accept a loss (making a LAY bet). If the server evens out the score (15:15), then you can enter the market again. If he loses a point again, you should close your bet again and accept a loss. You should not get yourself involved when the score is 30:30.

To gain the most out of this strategy you should keep this in mind:

  • Choose the games where men play.
  • The tennis court surface is not important.
  • It is not advised to make a BACK bet on a player that is not the favorite.
  • The liquidity in the market should be at least 50 000.

Advantages Of This Strategy:

  • You can use this strategy on every serve
  • The possibility that the server will won the game is very high

Disadvantages Of This Strategy:

  • You will gain only few ticks (0.05-0.15) comparing to other strategies
  • You will lose much more if the serve will be broken

Lay Strong Favourite

swing tennis trading

This is the easiest and the most understandable tennis trading strategy. It is used in the process of the game, ideally when watching the game live.

The Strategy:

This is a simple tennis trading strategy.

The criteria for selecting the players:

  • Choose a player that is an explicit favorite – the ratio should be under 1.40!
  • Choose a favorite who has recently had some injuries or who you think will simply play badly.

The positive thing about this strategy is that your liability is small, but you can win a significant amount of money.

 Example:

You choose a tennis match, where the ratio of the favourite is 1.4 . You place a bet of 100 Euros on the favourite and your liability is 40 Euros.

In the picture below you can see lay bet of 100 euros on Gael Monfils

monfils

If the player would lose the first set, his ratio would jump up to about 2.1. If you would make a back bet and even it out between both of the players, you would gain about 30 Euros. Of course, you can wait for this ratio to go up even more and gain more profits or leave a lay bet and hope that the favorite will lose.

In picture below you can see your profits if back bet odds on Gael Monfils would be 2.1

mahut

If your guess turns out to be incorrect and the favorite plays well, then it’s best to leave the market as quickly as possible and face the small losses.

Advantages Of This Strategy:

  • You are risking a little money, but profits can be huge
  • If favorite plays good, leave the market and loose cents

Disadvantages Of This Strategy:

  • If favorite makes a break in early games, odds drops noticeably

Swing Trading

swing tennis trading

Swing trading is a tennis strategy that is based on breaks, won sets and other events in the game that affect the ratio.

The Strategy:

This strategy is recommended for women’s tennis, where there are far more broken serves then in men’s tennis games.

In picture below you can see how a usual tennis match looks like in the WTA tour. 

swing trading tennis

Many serves are broken, as well as many break points are scored, which are being defended later on. This is the type of intrigue WTA games have!

This can be easily used by the tennis traders, who can place lay bets in the lowest points and a back bet in the peaks.

In men’s tennis this strategy can be used in games where the favorite loses the first set. If the favorite has lost the first set, then he will try to get even in the second set and he usually succeeds in this. In these types of games you can make a lay bet on the winner of the first set at the beginning of the second one and wait for the favorite to get even.

If the favourite does lose in the game when it’s his serve with 0:30 or 15:40, then it’s best to close your position and face the losses.

Advantages Of This Strategy:

  • One of the best strategies. Thanks to the girls!
  • Break will change the odds considerably

Disadvantages Of This Strategy:

  • There are some exceptions, where one player dominates the game

Low-risk Trading In Tennis

novak djokovic tennis trading

The trading while a tennis match is on can be very dynamic. The chart of the players’ ratio can change rapidly in just a few seconds. How can unexpected leaps and losses be avoided?

The first set

The rules of Betfair betting exchange foresee that the bets made at the time of the game are accepted and reviewed only if both of the players have finished the first set. Injuries in tennis are not something unusual, and a player on whom someone has made a bet can sprain his ankle at any moment.

Because of these rules trading in the first set of the game is the safest, since the bets will be cancelled. If one of the players quits after the first set has been finished, in the case of an injury the other player will automatically win and the bet will be lost.

Of course, the exact opposite might happen as well and the player against whom a bet has been made might quit. In this case the profits will be bigger than it has been predicted before the trade. Still, trading is not roulette or a wheel of fortune, so it’s safer and better to trade in the first set.

 Break lead

A popular strategy that can be used when trading WTA tennis games is to make a lay bet after a player has broken a serve and held one as well. This bet is made on the player who has made the break not lost it.

In women’s tennis the sportswomen have difficulty with holding their serves. This means that the cases when the other player gets a break are not rare. The ratio of the player who has received the break will have lowered and gotten close to the one this player would have if she had won the first set.

In this case the risk will be reduced because the ratio of the player will not go down as much is she wins a set or gets a double break as it would in the case of the first break.

To find out more about this strategy you can see this link and read more or watch video examples.

 Serving for the match

 This strategy is also connected with women’s tennis trading – if a player is one break ahead and is serving for the match, then the bet is made against her when the player has a set ball. In this case as well the player’s ratio will be very close to the one she might have if the player had already won the set.

It is worth noting here that as soon as the player wins the set you should immediately leave the trading because the other player might quit because of the lack of motivation or because of an injury.

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